[peq42]

With the U.S. and Israel at war with Iran, a lot of regions are being impacted economically(not to mention, obviously, the immense loss of innocent lives).

Many people nowadays have money invested, both in their country’s stock market and abroad, and thus might want to move their money to avoid losing, but with how hard it is to predict things, many don’t know where to. So I’m going to share, in my non professional opinion, where I think is the safest best to park money at(and it is where mine currently sits), where not to and why:

1. Latin America: As a whole, mostly independent of imports when it comes to oil. Brazil, with its huge economy and oil production and Guyana, with its massive reserves recently discovered are specially good. Other countries in the region can easily shift purchase to those two, keeping stability. Countries there are also completely not involved in the war.
2. Europe: Mostly not involved with the war, mostly makes use of electricity for cars, heating, etc specially since the Russian invasion of Ukraine. While not as dependent as some regions, this one may suffer slightly, but should rapidly adapt, specially if it shifts imports more to Norway.
3. North America: The U.S. is at huge risk. Not only is its economy increasingly dependent on oil and gas, but it’s already fragile, so adding an expensive war on top might break it. I’d definitely remove any and all money invested here. Meanwhile, Canada produces way more oil than it consumes, and has a fairly green grid, so it should be fine on that front, as long as the U.S. doesn’t decide on attacking it.
4. Asia: Many countries here are oil dependant. China has invested billions in moving its economy away from oil and gas, but still has enough dependance to be highly impacted. India’s situation is even worse, as the country has made little to no progress in moving away from fossil fuel in the past decade. Overall, however, I’d expect countries in this region to shift imports to Russia temporarily, avoiding long term issues. Countries in asia are also almost entirely not involved in the conflict, other than doing talks.
5. Africa: Shouldn’t see much of a change, as the region also produces lots of oil, though don’t refine it, and is not involved. Volatility there due to under development and corruption are a risk to investments, in my opinion.

So, for investments, I’d say(again, not a professional, this is an opinion):

1. Brazil: arguably best place to invest, due to economic growth, stability, stock market and oil independance.
2. Guyana: great opportunity to invest, due to the country’s relatively recently found oil supplies and stability.
3. Norway: Developed country, huge oil reserves, but with less un-explored potention for investments than Guyana.
4. France: Entirely clean electricity production, developed country, however slightly unstable socially recently.
5. Poland: One of the highest GDP growth in the EU, has been moving away from coal/oil for some time, not involved in the war.

And places to take your money away from:

1. U.S. : AI dependant economy(could crash at any point if a handful of companies have a bad quarter), highly reliant on oil, gas and coal, central part in the war(might become target of terror attacks), high expenses in war equipment, loss of relations and trade with countries due to initiating the war, etc.
2. China*: Adding an asterics on this one. It might be wise to take your money away from China temporarily(for a month or so), then re-invest once the country further moves away from oil/gas/coal or the war ends.
3. India: will be highly impacted, both in trade and because of oil dependance. I’d give the same recomendation as China, though I don’t expect it to get around the issue faster than China.

Types of companies that are doing well are obvious: Oil produces/refiners and defense-related companies are booming. I expect construction companies stocks to rise in  the near future.

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